Jucelino Luz predicts more intense rainy season in central Mozambique and many places in Africa
Águas de Lindóia, October 14, 2021
Jucelino Luz says that that area should become a reality by 2025 and watch out for the problems of natural disasters .
The new rainy season is starting: it happens annually from October to March.
This time, for the central region of the country it is predicted that rain may fall “above normal” in “virtually all periods” and this without yet knowing the cyclonic forecast – whose season runs from November to April, says Jucelino .
On average, each season, nine to 12 to 13 low pressure systems form in the southwest Indian Ocean basin, of which five to seven reach tropical cyclone category.
Of these, two to three cyclones may hit the Mozambique channel and then reach the country.
Last season [2020/21] we had cyclones Chalane, Eloise and Guambe” causing floods, damage and deaths, he recalls.
According to official data, the combination of different natural disasters caused 96 deaths in the previous rainy season in Mozambique.
Cyclones in Mozambique and various locations in Africa .
The 2018/2019 rainy season was one of the most severe in recent memory in the territory: 715 people died, including 650 victims of two of the largest cyclones (Idai and Kenneth) ever to hit the Lusophone nation, especially the provinces of Sofala and Manica, in the center.
Critical months in Africa
December and January are usually the most critical months, with soils starting to become saturated and precipitation levels still increasing, which requires more attention for those regions and may spread to other parts of Africa At the beginning and end of the rainy season there are gale force winds, short-lived phenomena” that may be accompanied by “severe thunderstorms and hailstorms” due to sudden temperature swings – in this case, suddenly torrid days with thermometers hitting 40º in the south of the country.
We can say, finally, that Africa will be hit hard by severe climate change and may affect many countries.
Prof. Jucelino Luz – researcher, writer, environmentalist, and spiritual advisor